Аннотация: Chavez and Maduro. Morales-1 and Morales-2. Political science hypothesis.
Chávez and Maduro. Morales-1 and Morales-2. Political hypothesis.
The process begins with socialism, and leads to a "raw material project."
Dear Mr. Chávez, came out of the thick of the people, and probably sincerely wanted happiness to the inhabitants of Venezuela.
But how to achieve this happiness?
Even the Chinese people, with its several thousand-year history and culture, couldn't do everything at once. And it is not known - will he managed?
Venezuela is a relatively young country.
Which way to choose? There are people who know the word "socialism". This word has many meanings ...
Already under the respected Mr. Chávez, a gradual demolition of those characteristic features of the rule of law and democracy, that Venezuela borrowed from Europe, began.
Due to the coincidence of circumstances and significant accumulations (in the broad sense) inherited from previous governments, the lives of many people under Chávez have improved. But, perhaps, at the same time, the life of other people has worsened?
While there were positive (real?) economic trends in Venezuela, while there was a talk about socialism, meanwhile many important characteristics of the rule of law and democracy, borrowed from Europe, were eliminated. A layer of people was formed around the government of Chávez. To those people neither the rule of law nor democracy turned out to be are needed.
For the right to be allowed up to a raw material pie, they paid and are paying by a political loyalty.
By what, for example, does China pay for its attempt to become a world leader?
He is paying by a twenty-four hour (slight exaggeration) working day?
By a lack of world-class social security systems?
By a huge efforts to increase the education level of huge masses of the population?
With a environmental pollution problems? ...
By an attempt to give up the dollar? ...
We do not pretend to do a full characteristic of the price of China for an attempt to become a world leader ...
It is clear that a moving to the future is not a simple matter.
But they want to live well here and now.
How to ensure this, a relatively good, life?
A rather interesting development option is being discovered.
A certain leader takes on a brand of legitimacy. Around him are grouped those who are admitted to the raw material pie. The rest are pushed into emigration.
For a couple of generations, a raw material pie will be enough - for those who remain faithful to the regime. And then - it will be seen ...
It is important to maintain a balance of power - so that those who crowded around, who grouped around a raw-material pie are always stronger than the "opposition" ...
Of course, Chávez was a little passionate about all sorts of social projects. Perhaps he really was a sincere and enthusiastic person ...
One way or another, Maduro replaced Chávez ...
In Bolivia we see a 'sincere fighter for the happiness of people' - Evo Morales.
Sometimes the economic Sun was throwing a few favorable rays on him and on his government...
Of course, this is not those efforts which are needed to break into the number of economic leaders ...
Meanwhile, slowly but surely the characteristics of the rule of law and democracy are being eliminated. The referendum was not successful? - We will use other "opportunities."
Around a raw-material pie, 'loyal faces' have already been grouped.
With the opposition, a "question" can be solved in different ways. Emigration is a relatively elegant method ... But it's possible to act in other way...
With this course of events, if we take the "Venezuelan scheme" as a basis, Morales-1 (Evo Morales) will be replaced by Morales-2 (?).
This is a historical hypothesis.
The situation is positively affected by the fact that the people of Bolivia have a picture of what happened and what is happening in Venezuela ...
November 16, 2019 16:11
Translation from Russian into English: November 16, 2019 17:49.
Владимир Владимирович Залесский 'Чавес и Мадуро. Моралес-1 и Моралес-2. Политологическая гипотеза.'.